Inversión $5.3B + Tecnologías + Tesorería Optimizada
Diciembre 2, 2025 | Estado: GO
| Componente | Capex | Timeline | Tecnología | NOI Y10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parques Industriales | $2,500M | Y1-4 complete | Base | $470M |
| Vivienda Institucional | $1,000M | Y2-3 (prefab) | Prefab Housing | $86M |
| Land Banking | $500M | Q2 2026 blitz | IA Geoespacial | $30M+ |
| Energía + Agua | $1,000M | Y2-4 | VPP Software Y3-4 | $25M |
| Contingency (5%) | $275M | Reserve | — | $0 |
| TOTAL | $5,275M | Y1-5 | $43-61M tech | $724M |
| Year | Avg Balance | T-Bill Yield | Annual Interest | Instruments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | $4,300M | 3.75% | $161M | 3-6M T-Bills |
| Y2 | $2,500M | 3.75% | $94M | 6-12M T-Bills |
| Y3 | $1,000M | 3.75% | $38M | 12-24M T-Bills |
| Y4 | $229M | 3.75% | $9M | Money Market |
| TOTAL | $2,007M avg | 3.75% | $302M | Ladder |
| Métrica | Base Plan 3.0 | Final Plan 3.0 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Capex | $5,275M | $5,318M | +$43-61M |
| NOI Y5 | $467M | $517M | +$50M |
| NOI Y10 | $621M | $724M | +$103M |
| Interest Income Y1-4 | $0 | +$302M | +$302M |
| TIR Unlevered | 11.5-12.8% | 12.7-14.4% | +120bps |
| Total Return Y10 | $11.4B | $12.45B+ | +$1.05B |
| Payback Period | 6-7 years | 5-6 years | -1 year |
| Multiple | 2.16x | 2.35x | +0.19x |
| Risk Category | Score | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| Execution Risk | 8.5/10 | Proven technologies, experienced team |
| Market Risk | 8/10 | Strong corporate anchor tenants |
| Technology Risk | 8/10 | 3 proven, 1 deferred until Y4 |
| Capital Risk | 9/10 | Conservative leverage (100% equity Y1-5) |
| Refinancing Risk | 8/10 | Strong DSCR 2.0-3.0x |
| Treasury Risk | 10/10 | 100% US Treasury = zero risk |
| OVERALL | 8.4/10 | STRONG / PROCEED |
Board approval + budget allocation | All 3 initiatives approved
IA + Prefab team mobilization | Execute Treasury Ladder ($4.8B T-Bills)
IA platform operational | Prefab factory planning started
Land blitz (500-600 hectáreas) | Prefab factory construction
Housing construction ramp | Energy deployment | VPP pilot
Asset stabilization (95%+ occupancy) | Refinancing closes
| Scenario | Asset Value | Equity Value | Multiple | IRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative (Y10) | $9.5B (9x) | $7.2B | 1.37x | 12.7% |
| Optimistic (Y10) | $12.5B (17x) | $10.2B | 1.94x | 14.4% |
| Extended Hold (Y12) | $14.0B (19x) | $11.7B | 2.22x | 15.2% |
| IPO Path (Y8-10) | $11-13B | $9-11B | 1.71-2.09x | 13.5-15% |